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CeBit 2010: Amazon Dismisses Private Clouds May 24, 2010

Posted by Glenn Irvine in Advocacy, Blog, Events, Futuring, Media.
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Article in today’s ARN Magazine cites Amazon vice-president and CTO, Werner Vogels, at his Keynote at CeBit in Sydney this morning dismissing Private Cloud Advocates.

Werner used an analogy of companies installing personal electricity generators when a public utility was available, also stating that much of this hype (read FUD) around Private Clouds was led by Hardware Vendors that stand to lose significantly in this space.

Read the ARN Article here:



Glenn Irvine


NBN Report has been released by Conroy May 6, 2010

Posted by Glenn Irvine in Advocacy, Blog, Events, Futuring, Media.
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Senator Conroy’s office has released the McKinsey/KPMG report on the NBN Rollout, and in the main it looks like good news.

Here are the key findings as summarised by the Dept of Broadband, Communications and the Digital Economy.

Key findings and recommendations from the Implementation Study include:

  • The NBN will deliver world class broadband infrastructure to all Australians;
  • The $43 billion total capital cost of the NBN is a conservative estimate and there are opportunities to significantly reduce the build cost;
  • The peak investment required by Government is estimated at $26 billion by the end of year 7, of which $18.3 billion will be required over the next four years;
  • Government should retain full ownership of the NBN until the roll out is complete to ensure that its policy objectives are met – including its competition objectives;
  • The fibre component of the NBN should be extended from 90 to 93 per cent and cover the 1.3 million new premises expected to be built by 2017-18;
  • Entry level wholesale prices on the fibre should be set at around $30-35 per month for basic broadband 20Mbps plus voice service, to drive affordable retail prices and better value for money for consumers compared to what is available today;
  • Fibre to the premise is widely accepted as the optimal future proof technology with wireless broadband a complementary rather than a substitute technology;
  • Next generation wireless and satellite services will deliver peak speeds of at least 12 Mbps (and much higher for many wireless users). Satellite services will deliver average data rates which are more than 20 times higher than most users of these technologies experience today and much higher than average DSL usage today;
  • NBN Co can build a strong and financially viable business case with the Study estimating it will be earnings positive by year six and able to pay significant distributions on its equity following completion of the rollout; and
  • The Government can expect a return on its equity investment sufficient to fully cover its cost of funds.

The complete report is available for download here:



Glenn Irvine

Cloud Interest Increasing in Australia – Salesforce Numbers show 33% Increase March 30, 2010

Posted by Glenn Irvine in Blog, Media, Commentary.
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Salesforce.com has released data indicating a 33% increase in the number of customers in Australia and New Zealand with an increase of 700 to 2800 customers overall in the last year.

I’m not the slightest bit surprised given this covers the worst of the GFC when organisations would have investigated lower-cost alternatives for their operations.

Even Google uses Salesforce for their CRM, so you don’t get a better endorsement for the product than from a company whose complete business model is built around Cloud operational models.

This article from ZDNet highlights the Salesforce release.


Glenn Irvine

Microsoft Online Bleeds leaving Google Search Unscathed February 15, 2010

Posted by Glenn Irvine in Analysts, Blog, Commentary, Competitive, Futuring, Media.
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While a lot of the online community is a-buzz at the moment with Google’s latest distraction, the underlying battle for mindshare in the online World is perhaps better demonstrated by the recent posting of Microsoft’s Online Business losses.

As reported in CIO Magazine today, “This division has been losing hundreds of millions of dollars for two years (it reported a $466 million income loss for the last three months of 2009)”. Much of it due to the increased cost of gaining traffic. (Purchasing traffic through promotions and deals).

eg. the $10M USD recently spent to gain access to Twitter feeds mentioned in my recent post “2010: The Google v. Microsoft War to Intensify

And during all of this they haven’t greatly touched Google Search’s business, mostly cannibalising the Yahoo Search marketshare instead.

With the Microsoft/Yahoo search partnership threatened by this performance, how much more will MS be willing to wear before they reconsider the strategy?


Glenn Irvine

2010: CIO Focus – Cloud, Web2.0/Social, Virtualisation, Mobility January 20, 2010

Posted by Glenn Irvine in Blog, Media, Advocacy, Futuring, Analysts.
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CIO Magazine published an article that has been summarizing the persistent view, and Tech Media interest over the last few weeks as all the pundits do the usual “What are we going to see as the primary focus for the new year in technology” pieces.

In summary, the research by Gartner that has been cited in the article emphasizes the focus on efficiencies that can be gained by leveraging lighter weight solutions like Cloud and Virtualisation, as well as embracing the wave of Web2.0/Social mediums and the greater networking/mobility needs.

Of particular interest is the degree of change of focus towards these technologies (in particular Cloud & Web2.0) as is evidenced in the following snippet…

“CIOs put virtualization as a top priority for 2010, up from the third position in 2009. Yet Cloud Computing  technologies shot up from the 16th slot to the No. 2 priority for CIOs. Web 2.0 technologies moved from 15th position to No. 3, and networking, voice and data communications hopped two spots from sixth position in 2009 to fourth in 2010.”

I’m seeing a stronger and stronger outlook for Cloud and Web2.0/Social technologies over this next year. Another likely disruptive technology on the horizon will be the mix of Google’s initiatives on it’s Nexus One smartphone and the release of Google Voice. While it is early days for the phone, and its maturity will be a work in progress, the powerful combination of the two will be something to watch.

Read the full Article here.


Glenn Irvine

2010: The Changing Face of the Internet – Globalisation December 29, 2009

Posted by Glenn Irvine in Blog, Media, Commentary, Advocacy, Futuring, Analysts.
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One of the interesting trends to watch unfold in 2010 is the release of the US centric controlling interests in ICANN with the late 2009 Management changes and the acceptance of non-latin characters for internet addresses.

When you think about it, this has the potential (and inevitable) eventuality of strongly changing the character of the predominantly english content of the web over time, and the knock-on effects that brings… How do you enter the website address for an arabic website in farsi? or a doublebyte website address for a japanese site in kanji?

How will an english speaking user even find such a site? (watch the power of Google Translate come to the fore)

Have a look at this article in today’s Australian by Mahesh Sharma…


He has an interesting outlook on the effects this may bring about, including the World shift of innovation, commercialisation and educational excellence as the US cedes control of this space.

With the emerging giants in China and India, this may very well take an interesting turn…


Glenn Irvine

2010: The Google v. Microsoft War to Intensify December 23, 2009

Posted by Glenn Irvine in Blog, Media, Commentary, Competitive, Futuring, Analysts.
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A great Analyst piece was released by ComputerWorld today outlining the outlook (no pun intended) for the battle between Google and Microsoft in 2010.

Have a look at the article by Sharon Gaudin in the US that was released this morning:


This snippet from the article is a good  summary:

[“These two companies really squared off this year,” said Jim McGregor, an analyst with In-Stat. “Both are looking for dominant positions in the Internet. For Google to increase its business, it needs to move into other territory. For Microsoft to have significant growth opportunities, it needs to become an Internet powerhouse, and they know it. This is not a war that is going to be won by one or two battles. This is going to be a prolonged activity.”

He added that the battle isn’t simply over which can be called top dog, because the fight is critical to both companies. “For Google, it’s about expanding, and for Microsoft, it’s about a life-or-death challenge,” McGregor said.]

I noticed with amounts paid for both Google’s ($15M) and Microsoft’s ($10M) ability to search the Twitter stream this week, we have a fairly healthy indicator of the battle between the two over online search.


Another article this week alluded to Google’s current research (some 25 odd projects) into increasing internet speeds.


I think 2010 is going to be an interesting year in this space as we see the battle for domination of the web pan out.


Glenn Irvine

Facebook: Too Popular? August 19, 2009

Posted by Glenn Irvine in Blog, Commentary, Media.
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You have to laugh at the litigious nature of our American cousins at times. On the same day that I receive this year’s email about the “Stella Awards” outlining the outrageous successful lawsuits of 2009, I also see an article in the press about a class action against Facebook for essentially being too popular.

Among the plaintiffs are the following:

  1. A woman who joined Facebook in the very early days when it was largely confined to the college campus at Berkley who has a problem with everyone in the rest of the World seeing her information.
  2. A photographer and an actress who argue that Facebook shouldn’t be sharing photos they uploaded to their profiles.
  3. An underage boy (11 years old – requirement is 13) being able to signup to the service.

I have some simple solutions for all of them and will hopefully save the US court system (and Facebook) several millions.

  1. Unsubscribe
  2. Unsubscribe
  3. Parents supervise & unsubscribe

Is that all just a little too simple, or am I missing something? 🙂


Glenn Irvine

“Collaboration Now” Program on CNBC August 5, 2009

Posted by Glenn Irvine in Advocacy, Futuring, Media.
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Just discovered a wonderful program on CNBC called “Collaboration Now“.

It has an obvious Business/Finance bent, but that’s just the people that we need on board to see the value of collaboration technologies and processes.

They have a great lineup of guests as follows:

Dr. Peter Diamandis
Chairman & CEO, X Prize and Co-Founder, Space Adventures

Anousheh Ansari
First Woman Private Space Exporer

Brian Mulroney
Former Canadian Prime Minister

Evan Rosen
Author of “The Culture of Collaboration”

Miles Everson
Partner, PricewaterhouseCoopers

Paul Otellini
CEO, Intel

Don Proctor
Senior VP, Voice Technology, Cisco

Johan Hoegstedt

VP, Strategic Planning and Development, AstraZeneca

Dr. Ranjay Gulati
Harvard Business School

You can see the first episode here:


Glenn Irvine

A New “Wave” and a “Bing” – Google & Microsoft Announcements May 29, 2009

Posted by Glenn Irvine in Blog, Commentary, Competitive, Futuring, Media, Review.
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Two announcements today from Google and Microsoft. Google have provided a glimpse of the new Collaboration Platform that they intend to release as Open Source, named Google Wave.


The Platform promises a mesh of eMail, Social Networking, Real-Time Collaboration, all the internationalisation characteristics of Google, Wikis and an Application Extensions framework.

A great article on the capabilities of Google Wave is available on Mashable.com.

I’ll be keen to see the platform. Google has a great history in innovation and this project was originated here in Australia, by the creators of Google Maps.

Meanwhile, Microsoft has announced that instead of Kumo, they will be naming their search engine “Bing”.

After getting over my initial thought that they were naming it after Chandler from “Friends”, I thought it might be worth having a look.


With the branding of Microsoft’s Search capability bouncing from Kumo to Live Search to Bing, there is a little confusion in the market, and I would have to say I wasn’t that impressed with their initial offering when Kumo was released. But we will see…


Glenn Irvine